Classic Bulbo question: spike or new growth? (Bublo. Wilmar Galaxy Star)

[Lacie]

I couldn't find any pictures of new spikes on this hybrid (dearei x lobbii), but I know many Bulbo spikes can look like new growths. I *think* it may be a spike, but I could be wrong! Maybe it is too early to tell? Either way I am happy because this guy has only recently started to seem happy in my care. I got it last July with two new growths, both of which stalled. About 2 months ago I repotted in the basket and started keeping it much wetter (watering every day or every other). After that one of the stalled growths died, but the other is finally starting to put out roots and grow (3rd picture). Then I saw this new growth or spike, so I'm feeling pretty good!