My thoughts are 2 tubes T5 for a 16" wide shelf.
I have some mini Catts under 2 T12's and added 1 T5. The plants are about 3" away from the bulbs and they started to display some reddish/purple color change in the leaf margins indicating the lights getting a bit too bright.
Right now I have a 3' x 2' wide with 2 T5's that I am going to use for paphs and phals. The plants will be 4-6" away from the bulbs. A friend grows his Paphs and mini Catts 6-8" away from 3 T5's and has not trouble blooming either. His grow space is 24" wide.
I don't think the wattage of the T5's from Home Depot are as high as the ones from the hydroponics stores.
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Dave W
"It is easy to grow orchids - you just have to think like one!" - Unknown
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